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CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.Xie Feng, Ambassador of China to the United States: The goal of China's commitment to the stable, healthy and sustainable development of Sino-US relations has not changed. According to the Chinese Embassy in the United States, on December 11th, u.s.-china business council held the 2024 annual celebration dinner in Washington. In his speech, Xie Feng said that China has always grasped the general trend of the world from a long historical period, maintained continuity and stability in its policy toward the United States, and it is the determination of a big country to respond to changes with constancy, and it is China's wisdom to create a new situation in a changing situation. Xie Feng pointed out that the goal of China's commitment to the stable, healthy and sustainable development of Sino-US relations has not changed, which is in line with the common interests of the two countries and the general expectations of the international community; The principle of handling Sino-US relations in accordance with mutual respect, peaceful coexistence and win-win cooperation has not changed, which is the fundamental way for China and the United States to get along correctly in the new era. The position of firmly safeguarding its sovereignty, security and development interests has not changed. This is a principle that China must defend and a red line that cannot be challenged. The desire to continue the traditional friendship between the Chinese and American people has not changed, and we are willing to continue to pave the way for cultural exchanges between the two countries. Xie Feng hopes that the US will move in the same direction as China, strengthen dialogue and communication, and refrain from shouting from a distance; Properly control differences and not engage in conflict and confrontation; Expand mutually beneficial cooperation and do not engage in decoupling and chain breaking; Carry out benign interaction, do not engage in zero-sum game, and strive to achieve a smooth transition and a good start in Sino-US relations.German two-year bond yields rose by 5 basis points to 2%.

ECB sources: Some people think that the ECB overestimates economic growth. In the case of Trump's tariff increase, the economic growth next year may be less than 1%.The mortgage interest rate in the United States fell for the third consecutive week, and the demand for home purchases rose. The mortgage interest rate in the United States fell for the third consecutive week. Freddie Mac said in a statement that the average interest rate of 30-year fixed-rate mortgages was 6.6%, down from 6.69% last week. Redfin Corp' s data for the four weeks ending December 8 show that buyers have been pushing forward in recent weeks, and the purchase contract has increased by 4.1% year-on-year. However, the broker said that affordability still faces challenges, because interest rates are still at a high level and the median selling price has increased by 6% year-on-year. "Demand is adapting to the new normal after the election," said Chen Zhao, head of economic research at Redfin.The USD/CHF broke through the 0.8900 mark, and the latest price was 0.8901, up 0.67% in the day.

Major indexes of European stocks were mixed, with German DAX 30 index up 0.08%, French stock index down 0.06%, Italian stock index up 0.40%, British stock index up 0.03% and European STOXX 600 index down 0.19%.In the first 10 months of this year, the number of tourists from China to Hungary nearly doubled. According to the latest data from the Hungarian Ministry of Economic Affairs, a total of 183,000 tourists from China arrived in Hungary in the first 10 months of this year, nearly doubling compared with the same period last year.Ambassador of China to the United States: "Going to China" is the real risk of global supply chain. Xie Feng, China's ambassador to the United States, said on the 11th that "going to China" is the real risk of global supply chain. Speaking at the annual dinner of u.s.-china business council held in Washington that night, Xie Feng said that in the face of protectionism, China's determination to comprehensively deepen reform and expand high-level opening-up has always been the same, its goal of promoting stable and far-reaching Sino-US relations has always been the same, and its desire to welcome enterprises from all countries, including American enterprises, to share development opportunities has always been the same. Xie Feng said that since the Third Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, a series of heavy reform measures have come into effect, and access to the manufacturing sector has been fully liberalized. For the first time, negative list management has been established for cross-border service trade nationwide, and wholly foreign-owned hospitals have been allowed to be set up in nine places including Beijing. Eleven foreign-controlled or wholly foreign-owned brokers, including JPMorgan Chase, have successively settled in China, and telecommunications, internet, education, culture and medical care have been opened in an orderly manner, releasing huge market dividends. Xie Feng said that the weaponization of tariffs closes the market and loses opportunities. The "small courtyard and high wall" can't stop the spring breeze of innovation, but will draw the land as a prison. "Going to China" under the guise of "removing risks" is the real risk of the global supply chain, and treating "national security" as a "panacea" to discredit and suppress is itself creating insecurity. Only when Sino-US cooperation is done well will the two countries and the world be more prosperous and safer. U.s.-china business council, founded in 1973, is a non-governmental trade organization with China established by the United States before the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States. It has long been committed to promoting the development of Sino-US relations and economic and trade cooperation. At present, the Committee has 270 American member enterprises doing business in China.